GOP
Wants to End Exit Polls
A BUZZFLASH
NEWS ANALYSIS
As a BuzzFlash
Reader said: "Gee, let's make it REALLY easy to cheat..."
RNC Chairman
Ed Gillespie wants to eliminate exit polls because he says they're not
accurate, implying that the final vote was unquestionably correct.
GOP
Wants News Organizations to Abandon Exit Polls (subscription req'd)
By Doug Halonen, TVWeek.com
After
early exit polls in Tuesday's election inaccurately suggested that
Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry would trounce President
Bush, Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie is recommending
that major news organizations pull the plug on the prognostications.
In remarks
Thursday at the National Press Club, Mr. Gillespie said he is among
those who were stunned by exit poll reports, which leaked widely on
the Internet. "I would encourage the media to abandon exit surveys
on Election Day and do what we do in the political profession -- look
at the precincts and the turnout, see who's turning out to vote,"
Mr. Gillespie said. "Don't build a model that you try to, you
know, build your own thoughts into of what you expect it to be."
Mr.
Gillespie conceded that the exit polls weren't reported directly by
major news organizations themselves. "But with the Internet today,
we're kidding ourselves, aren't we, to think that everybody in America
doesn't know what the exit data is showing?" he said.
He also
said he was personally affected by the early reports, discouraged
by what he was seeing. "But I've been through this before,"
he said. "In 2000 the exit data was wrong on Election Day. In
2002, the exit returns were wrong on Election Day. And in 2004, the
exit data were wrong on Election Day -- all three times, by the way,
in a way that skewed against Republicans and had a dispiriting effect
on Republican voters across the country."
Gillespie's
implication that the final tally was correct, but the exit polls were
wrong implies that our voting process is flawless and the people building
our voting machines are nonpartisan and only interested in seeing a
fair election.
Anyone
with the slightest knowledge of the seriousness
of the widespread problems we have with our voting systems or the
highly
compromised partisans running our voting machine companies knows
a truly fair election is not possible.
Why would
the GOP want to eliminate exit polls? Because it's the last semi-independent
check of an election's accuracy and the only way to quickly determine
if the votes cast for a candidate match those counted by the machines.
Sheldon
Drobny: "There's a huge difference between polling what WILL
happen and polling something that has already happened. The
reliability of polling something that has already happened is highly
reliable vs. predictive polls, like Gallup or Zogby, which is
very risky. The reliability can be, not plus or minus 4 percent as
we see with predictive polls, but rather a much more reliable plus
or minus one half or one tenth of one percent with exit polls, because
those are based on asking people who already voted. I would even say
that if the exit polling were done in the key precincts of Florida
and Ohio, which it was, then these results should be practically "bullet
proof.'"
If the
GOP eliminates exit polls before true verifiable voting is in place,
there will be nothing left to warn us when our vote is stolen.
Lastly,
note that Gillespie only refers to the 2000, 2002, and 2004 elections
-- all the major elections since George W. Bush dropped onto the national
political scene -- as "being skewed against Republicans."
There is a very good reason the exit polls showed more people voted
for Democrats -- they did.
As Greg
Palast said, "...the
exit polls are accurate."
http://www.buzzflash.com/analysis/04/11/ana04027.html
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